No upset alerts this week.

• ✗Loss
  ARI @ SF

  SF 36 · ARI 30

  Pick SF -8.5 · missed by 2.5

  The market lists San Francisco 49ers -8.5; our model projects San Francisco 49ers to win by about 14, so we lean San Francisco 49ers -8.5, and the expert consensus agrees.

  Market line

  San Francisco 49ers -8.5

  Total

  47.5

  Our projection

  San Francisco 49ers by 14

  PulsePick

  San Francisco 49ers -8.5

  Result

  ✗Loss

  Confidence

  Called it at 64%

• ✗Loss
  ATL @ GB

  ATL 35 · GB 14

  Pick GB -6.0 · missed by 27

  The market lists Green Bay Packers -6.0; our model projects Green Bay Packers to win by about 8, so we lean Green Bay Packers -6.0, and the expert consensus agrees.

  Market line

  Green Bay Packers -6.0

  Total

  43.5

  Our projection

  Green Bay Packers by 8

  PulsePick

  Green Bay Packers -6.0

  Result

  ✗Loss

  Confidence

  Called it at 59%

• ✓Win
  NYJ @ DET

  DET 31 · NYJ 24

  Pick DET -6.5 · covered by 0.5

  The market lists Detroit Lions -6.5; our model projects Detroit Lions to win by about 7, so we lean Detroit Lions -6.5, and the expert consensus agrees.

  Market line

  Detroit Lions -6.5

  Total

  48.5

  Our projection

  Detroit Lions by 7

  PulsePick

  Detroit Lions -6.5

  Result

  ✓Win

  Confidence

  Called it at 58%

• ✓Win
  LAC @ BUF

  BUF 24 · LAC 16

  Pick BUF -7.0 · covered by 1

  The market lists Buffalo Bills -7.0; our model projects Buffalo Bills to win by about 9, so we lean Buffalo Bills -7.0, and the expert consensus agrees.

  Market line

  Buffalo Bills -7.0

  Total

  50.5

  Our projection

  Buffalo Bills by 9

  PulsePick

  Buffalo Bills -7.0

  Result

  ✓Win

  Confidence

  Called it at 57%

• ✗Loss
  CAR @ CLE

  CLE 21 · CAR 18

  Pick CAR -2.5 · missed by 5.5

  The market lists Carolina Panthers -2.5; our model projects Carolina Panthers to win by about 3, so we lean Carolina Panthers -2.5, and the expert consensus agrees.

  Market line

  Cleveland Browns +2.5

  Total

  42.5

  Our projection

  Carolina Panthers by 3

  PulsePick

  Carolina Panthers -2.5

  Result

  ✗Loss

  Confidence

  Called it at 57%

• ✗Loss
  LAR @ DEN

  DEN 30 · LAR 26

  Pick LAR -2.5 · missed by 6.5

  The market lists Los Angeles Rams -2.5; our model projects Los Angeles Rams to win by about 3, so we lean Los Angeles Rams -2.5, and the expert consensus agrees.

  Market line

  Denver Broncos +2.5

  Total

  45.5

  Our projection

  Los Angeles Rams by 3

  PulsePick

  Los Angeles Rams -2.5

  Result

  ✗Loss

  Confidence

  Called it at 57%

• =Push
  BAL @ DAL

  BAL 34 · DAL 31

  Pick DAL +3.0 · landed on the number

  The market lists Baltimore Ravens -3.0; our model projects Dallas Cowboys to win by about 1, so we lean Dallas Cowboys +3.0, but the expert consensus leans the other way (which lowers our confidence).

  Market line

  Dallas Cowboys +3.0

  Total

  52.5

  Our projection

  Dallas Cowboys by 1

  PulsePick

  Dallas Cowboys +3.0

  Result

  =Push

  Confidence

  Called it at 56%

• ✗Loss
  LV @ NO

  LV 35 · NO 27

  Pick NO -3.0 · missed by 11

  The market lists New Orleans Saints -3.0; our model projects New Orleans Saints to win by about 4, so we lean New Orleans Saints -3.0, and the expert consensus agrees.

  Market line

  New Orleans Saints -3.0

  Total

  43.5

  Our projection

  New Orleans Saints by 4

  PulsePick

  New Orleans Saints -3.0

  Result

  ✗Loss

  Confidence

  Called it at 56%

• ✗Loss
  TEN @ NYG

  NYG 12 · TEN 7

  Pick TEN +3.5 · missed by 1.5

  The market lists New York Giants -3.5; our model sees it as a near coin flip, so we lean Tennessee Titans +3.5, but the expert consensus leans the other way (which lowers our confidence).

  Market line

  New York Giants -3.5

  Total

  40.5

  Our projection

  Pick'em

  PulsePick

  Tennessee Titans +3.5

  Result

  ✗Loss

  Confidence

  Called it at 55%

• ✗Loss
  MIN @ TB

  MIN 23 · TB 16

  Pick TB +1.5 · missed by 5.5

  The market lists Minnesota Vikings -1.5; our model projects Minnesota Vikings to win by about 1, so we lean Tampa Bay Buccaneers +1.5, and the expert consensus agrees.

  Market line

  Tampa Bay Buccaneers +1.5

  Total

  42.5

  Our projection

  Minnesota Vikings by 1

  PulsePick

  Tampa Bay Buccaneers +1.5

  Result

  ✗Loss

  Confidence

  Called it at 52%

• ✓Win
  HOU @ IND

  IND 19 · HOU 17

  Pick IND +2.5 · covered by 4.5

  The market lists Houston Texans -2.5; our model sees it as a near coin flip, so we lean Indianapolis Colts +2.5, but the expert consensus leans the other way (which lowers our confidence).

  Market line

  Indianapolis Colts +2.5

  Total

  43.5

  Our projection

  Pick'em

  PulsePick

  Indianapolis Colts +2.5

  Result

  ✓Win

  Confidence

  Called it at 50%

• ✗Loss
  KC @ MIA

  KC 24 · MIA 10

  Pick MIA +11.5 · missed by 2.5

  The market lists Kansas City Chiefs -11.5; our model projects Kansas City Chiefs to win by about 10, so we lean Miami Dolphins +11.5, but the expert consensus leans the other way (which lowers our confidence).

  Market line

  Miami Dolphins +11.5

  Total

  45.5

  Our projection

  Kansas City Chiefs by 10

  PulsePick

  Miami Dolphins +11.5

  Result

  ✗Loss

  Confidence

  Called it at 50%

• ✓Win
  CIN @ PIT

  PIT 30 · CIN 27

  Pick PIT +3.5 · covered by 6.5

  The market lists Cincinnati Bengals -3.5; our model projects Cincinnati Bengals to win by about 2, so we lean Pittsburgh Steelers +3.5, but the expert consensus leans the other way (which lowers our confidence).

  Market line

  Pittsburgh Steelers +3.5

  Total

  42.5

  Our projection

  Cincinnati Bengals by 2

  PulsePick

  Pittsburgh Steelers +3.5

  Result

  ✓Win

  Confidence

  Called it at 50%

• ✓Win
  SEA @ WSH

  WSH 33 · SEA 31

  Pick WSH +7.0 · covered by 9

  The market lists Seattle Seahawks -7.0; our model projects Seattle Seahawks to win by about 5, so we lean Washington Commanders +7.0, but the expert consensus leans the other way (which lowers our confidence).

  Market line

  Washington Commanders +7.0

  Total

  40.5

  Our projection

  Seattle Seahawks by 5

  PulsePick

  Washington Commanders +7.0

  Result

  ✓Win

  Confidence

  Called it at 50%

• ✗Loss
  NE @ JAX

  JAX 35 · NE 6

  Pick NE +3.0 · missed by 26

  The market lists Jacksonville Jaguars -3.0; our model projects Jacksonville Jaguars to win by about 3, so we lean New England Patriots +3.0, but the expert consensus leans the other way (which lowers our confidence).

  Market line

  Jacksonville Jaguars -3.0

  Total

  45.5

  Our projection

  Jacksonville Jaguars by 3

  PulsePick

  New England Patriots +3.0

  Result

  ✗Loss

  Confidence

  Called it at 50%

• ✓Win
  PHI @ CHI

  CHI 27 · PHI 7

  Pick CHI +3.0 · covered by 23

  The market lists Philadelphia Eagles -3.0; our model projects Philadelphia Eagles to win by about 1, so we lean Chicago Bears +3.0, but the expert consensus leans the other way (which lowers our confidence).

  Market line

  Chicago Bears +3.0

  Total

  43.5

  Our projection

  Philadelphia Eagles by 1

  PulsePick

  Chicago Bears +3.0

  Result

  ✓Win

  Confidence

  Called it at 50%

PulsePicks with spread, total, confidence and result

Status	Matchup	Market line	Our projection	Total	PulsePick	Confidence	Result
Final	ARI @ SFThe market lists San Francisco 49ers -8.5; our model projects San Francisco 49ers to win by about 14, so we lean San Francisco 49ers -8.5, and the expert consensus agrees.	San Francisco 49ers -8.5	San Francisco 49ers by 14	47.5	San Francisco 49ers -8.5	Our PulsePick64%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models. How our strategies split All Models AgreePower · Analysts	✗LossSF 36 · ARI 30
Final	ATL @ GBThe market lists Green Bay Packers -6.0; our model projects Green Bay Packers to win by about 8, so we lean Green Bay Packers -6.0, and the expert consensus agrees.	Green Bay Packers -6.0	Green Bay Packers by 8	43.5	Green Bay Packers -6.0	Our PulsePick59%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models. How our strategies split All Models AgreePower · Analysts	✗LossATL 35 · GB 14
Final	NYJ @ DETThe market lists Detroit Lions -6.5; our model projects Detroit Lions to win by about 7, so we lean Detroit Lions -6.5, and the expert consensus agrees.	Detroit Lions -6.5	Detroit Lions by 7	48.5	Detroit Lions -6.5	Our PulsePick58%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models. How our strategies split All Models AgreePower · Analysts	✓WinDET 31 · NYJ 24
Final	LAC @ BUFThe market lists Buffalo Bills -7.0; our model projects Buffalo Bills to win by about 9, so we lean Buffalo Bills -7.0, and the expert consensus agrees.	Buffalo Bills -7.0	Buffalo Bills by 9	50.5	Buffalo Bills -7.0	Our PulsePick57%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models. How our strategies split All Models AgreePower · Analysts	✓WinBUF 24 · LAC 16
Final	CAR @ CLEThe market lists Carolina Panthers -2.5; our model projects Carolina Panthers to win by about 3, so we lean Carolina Panthers -2.5, and the expert consensus agrees.	Cleveland Browns +2.5	Carolina Panthers by 3	42.5	Carolina Panthers -2.5	Our PulsePick57%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models. How our strategies split All Models AgreePower · Analysts	✗LossCLE 21 · CAR 18
Final	LAR @ DENThe market lists Los Angeles Rams -2.5; our model projects Los Angeles Rams to win by about 3, so we lean Los Angeles Rams -2.5, and the expert consensus agrees.	Denver Broncos +2.5	Los Angeles Rams by 3	45.5	Los Angeles Rams -2.5	Our PulsePick57%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models. How our strategies split All Models AgreePower · Analysts	✗LossDEN 30 · LAR 26
Final	BAL @ DALThe market lists Baltimore Ravens -3.0; our model projects Dallas Cowboys to win by about 1, so we lean Dallas Cowboys +3.0, but the expert consensus leans the other way (which lowers our confidence).	Dallas Cowboys +3.0	Dallas Cowboys by 1	52.5	Dallas Cowboys +3.0	Our PulsePick56%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models. How our strategies split PowerDALPulse Power backs Dallas Cowboys, the side our PulsePick backs. AnalystsBALPulse Analysts disagrees and backs Baltimore Ravens.	=PushBAL 34 · DAL 31
Final	LV @ NOThe market lists New Orleans Saints -3.0; our model projects New Orleans Saints to win by about 4, so we lean New Orleans Saints -3.0, and the expert consensus agrees.	New Orleans Saints -3.0	New Orleans Saints by 4	43.5	New Orleans Saints -3.0	Our PulsePick56%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models. How our strategies split All Models AgreePower · Analysts	✗LossLV 35 · NO 27
Final	TEN @ NYGThe market lists New York Giants -3.5; our model sees it as a near coin flip, so we lean Tennessee Titans +3.5, but the expert consensus leans the other way (which lowers our confidence).	New York Giants -3.5	Pick'em	40.5	Tennessee Titans +3.5	Our PulsePick55%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models. How our strategies split PowerTENPulse Power backs Tennessee Titans, the side our PulsePick backs. AnalystsNYGPulse Analysts disagrees and backs New York Giants.	✗LossNYG 12 · TEN 7
Final	MIN @ TBThe market lists Minnesota Vikings -1.5; our model projects Minnesota Vikings to win by about 1, so we lean Tampa Bay Buccaneers +1.5, and the expert consensus agrees.	Tampa Bay Buccaneers +1.5	Minnesota Vikings by 1	42.5	Tampa Bay Buccaneers +1.5	Our PulsePick52%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models. How our strategies split All Models AgreePower · Analysts	✗LossMIN 23 · TB 16
Final	HOU @ INDThe market lists Houston Texans -2.5; our model sees it as a near coin flip, so we lean Indianapolis Colts +2.5, but the expert consensus leans the other way (which lowers our confidence).	Indianapolis Colts +2.5	Pick'em	43.5	Indianapolis Colts +2.5	Our PulsePick50%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models. How our strategies split PowerINDPulse Power backs Indianapolis Colts, the side our PulsePick backs. AnalystsHOUPulse Analysts disagrees and backs Houston Texans.	✓WinIND 19 · HOU 17
Final	KC @ MIAThe market lists Kansas City Chiefs -11.5; our model projects Kansas City Chiefs to win by about 10, so we lean Miami Dolphins +11.5, but the expert consensus leans the other way (which lowers our confidence).	Miami Dolphins +11.5	Kansas City Chiefs by 10	45.5	Miami Dolphins +11.5	Our PulsePick50%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models. How our strategies split PowerMIAPulse Power backs Miami Dolphins, the side our PulsePick backs. AnalystsKCPulse Analysts disagrees and backs Kansas City Chiefs.	✗LossKC 24 · MIA 10
Final	CIN @ PITThe market lists Cincinnati Bengals -3.5; our model projects Cincinnati Bengals to win by about 2, so we lean Pittsburgh Steelers +3.5, but the expert consensus leans the other way (which lowers our confidence).	Pittsburgh Steelers +3.5	Cincinnati Bengals by 2	42.5	Pittsburgh Steelers +3.5	Our PulsePick50%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models. How our strategies split PowerPITPulse Power backs Pittsburgh Steelers, the side our PulsePick backs. AnalystsCINPulse Analysts disagrees and backs Cincinnati Bengals.	✓WinPIT 30 · CIN 27
Final	SEA @ WSHThe market lists Seattle Seahawks -7.0; our model projects Seattle Seahawks to win by about 5, so we lean Washington Commanders +7.0, but the expert consensus leans the other way (which lowers our confidence).	Washington Commanders +7.0	Seattle Seahawks by 5	40.5	Washington Commanders +7.0	Our PulsePick50%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models. How our strategies split PowerWSHPulse Power backs Washington Commanders, the side our PulsePick backs. AnalystsSEAPulse Analysts disagrees and backs Seattle Seahawks.	✓WinWSH 33 · SEA 31
Final	NE @ JAXThe market lists Jacksonville Jaguars -3.0; our model projects Jacksonville Jaguars to win by about 3, so we lean New England Patriots +3.0, but the expert consensus leans the other way (which lowers our confidence).	Jacksonville Jaguars -3.0	Jacksonville Jaguars by 3	45.5	New England Patriots +3.0	Our PulsePick50%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models. How our strategies split PowerNEPulse Power backs New England Patriots, the side our PulsePick backs. AnalystsJAXPulse Analysts disagrees and backs Jacksonville Jaguars.	✗LossJAX 35 · NE 6
Final	PHI @ CHIThe market lists Philadelphia Eagles -3.0; our model projects Philadelphia Eagles to win by about 1, so we lean Chicago Bears +3.0, but the expert consensus leans the other way (which lowers our confidence).	Chicago Bears +3.0	Philadelphia Eagles by 1	43.5	Chicago Bears +3.0	Our PulsePick50%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models. How our strategies split PowerCHIPulse Power backs Chicago Bears, the side our PulsePick backs. AnalystsPHIPulse Analysts disagrees and backs Philadelphia Eagles.	✓WinCHI 27 · PHI 7

Every week we also run these four strategies and grade them. The board's PulsePick follows our main model; agreement shows how many of the four back it.