Week 4 board

NFL Picks Against the Spread — Week 4

Here is the full Week 4 board. Each line shows the market spread, the side our main model lands on, and a confidence score for how strongly it backs that call. The model chips next to it show whether the rest of our strategies agree or split, so you can see the difference between a clean read and a coin flip before anything is graded.

This week's PulsePicks

UpcomingSun, Oct 4, 8:25 PM
DEN @ SF
The market lists San Francisco 49ers -3.0; our model projects San Francisco 49ers to win by about 8, so we lean San Francisco 49ers -3.0, and the expert consensus agrees.
Market line
San Francisco 49ers -3.0
Total
47.5
Our projection
San Francisco 49ers by 8
PulsePick
San Francisco 49ers -3.0
Result
Pending
Confidence
Our PulsePick68%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models.
How our strategies split All Models AgreePower · Analysts
UpcomingSun, Oct 4, 1:30 PM
IND @ WSH
The market lists Indianapolis Colts -3.5; our model projects Washington Commanders to win by about 1, so we lean Washington Commanders +3.5, and the expert consensus agrees.
Market line
Washington Commanders +3.5
Total
47.5
Our projection
Washington Commanders by 1
PulsePick
Washington Commanders +3.5
Result
Pending
Confidence
Our PulsePick61%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models.
How our strategies split All Models AgreePower · Analysts
UpcomingSun, Oct 4, 5:00 PM
GB @ TB
The market lists Green Bay Packers -3.5; our model projects Green Bay Packers to win by about 4, so we lean Green Bay Packers -3.5, and the expert consensus agrees.
Market line
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3.5
Total
38.5
Our projection
Green Bay Packers by 4
PulsePick
Green Bay Packers -3.5
Result
Pending
Confidence
Our PulsePick61%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models.
How our strategies split All Models AgreePower · Analysts
UpcomingSun, Oct 4, 5:00 PM
JAX @ CIN
The market lists Cincinnati Bengals -2.5; our model projects Jacksonville Jaguars to win by about 1, so we lean Jacksonville Jaguars +2.5, but the expert consensus leans the other way (which lowers our confidence).
Market line
Cincinnati Bengals -2.5
Total
51.5
Our projection
Jacksonville Jaguars by 1
PulsePick
Jacksonville Jaguars +2.5
Result
Pending
Confidence
Our PulsePick56%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models.
How our strategies split
PowerJAXPulse Power backs Jacksonville Jaguars, the side our PulsePick backs.
AnalystsCINPulse Analysts disagrees and backs Cincinnati Bengals.
UpcomingSun, Oct 4, 5:00 PM
DAL @ HOU
The market lists Houston Texans -3.0; our model projects Dallas Cowboys to win by about 1, so we lean Dallas Cowboys +3.0, but the expert consensus leans the other way (which lowers our confidence).
Market line
Houston Texans -3.0
Total
48.5
Our projection
Dallas Cowboys by 1
PulsePick
Dallas Cowboys +3.0
Result
Pending
Confidence
Our PulsePick56%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models.
How our strategies split
PowerDALPulse Power backs Dallas Cowboys, the side our PulsePick backs.
AnalystsHOUPulse Analysts disagrees and backs Houston Texans.
UpcomingSun, Oct 4, 8:25 PM
KC @ LV
The market lists Kansas City Chiefs -4.5; our model projects Kansas City Chiefs to win by about 5, so we lean Kansas City Chiefs -4.5, and the expert consensus agrees.
Market line
Las Vegas Raiders +4.5
Total
47.5
Our projection
Kansas City Chiefs by 5
PulsePick
Kansas City Chiefs -4.5
Result
Pending
Confidence
Our PulsePick55%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models.
How our strategies split All Models AgreePower · Analysts
UpcomingSun, Oct 4, 8:25 PM
LAC @ SEA
The market lists Seattle Seahawks -7.0; our model projects Seattle Seahawks to win by about 8, so we lean Seattle Seahawks -7.0, and the expert consensus agrees.
Market line
Seattle Seahawks -7.0
Total
42.5
Our projection
Seattle Seahawks by 8
PulsePick
Seattle Seahawks -7.0
Result
Pending
Confidence
Our PulsePick54%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models.
How our strategies split All Models AgreePower · Analysts
UpcomingFri, Oct 2, 12:15 AM
PIT @ CLE
The market lists Pittsburgh Steelers -2.5; our model projects Pittsburgh Steelers to win by about 1, so we lean Cleveland Browns +2.5, and the expert consensus agrees.
Market line
Cleveland Browns +2.5
Total
38.5
Our projection
Pittsburgh Steelers by 1
PulsePick
Cleveland Browns +2.5
Result
Pending
Confidence
Our PulsePick53%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models.
How our strategies split All Models AgreePower · Analysts
UpcomingSun, Oct 4, 5:00 PM
NE @ BUF
The market lists Buffalo Bills -7.0; our model projects Buffalo Bills to win by about 6, so we lean New England Patriots +7.0, but the expert consensus leans the other way (which lowers our confidence).
Market line
Buffalo Bills -7.0
Total
48.5
Our projection
Buffalo Bills by 6
PulsePick
New England Patriots +7.0
Result
Pending
Confidence
Our PulsePick50%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models.
How our strategies split
PowerNEPulse Power backs New England Patriots, the side our PulsePick backs.
AnalystsBUFPulse Analysts disagrees and backs Buffalo Bills.
UpcomingSun, Oct 4, 5:00 PM
NYJ @ CHI
The market lists Chicago Bears -3.5; our model projects Chicago Bears to win by about 4, so we lean Chicago Bears -3.5, but the expert consensus leans the other way (which lowers our confidence).
Market line
Chicago Bears -3.5
Total
43.5
Our projection
Chicago Bears by 4
PulsePick
Chicago Bears -3.5
Result
Pending
Confidence
Our PulsePick50%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models.
How our strategies split
PowerCHIPulse Power backs Chicago Bears, the side our PulsePick backs.
AnalystsNYJPulse Analysts disagrees and backs New York Jets.
UpcomingSun, Oct 4, 5:00 PM
ARI @ NYG
The market lists Arizona Cardinals -2.5; our model sees it as a near coin flip, so we lean New York Giants +2.5, but the expert consensus leans the other way (which lowers our confidence).
Market line
New York Giants +2.5
Total
44.5
Our projection
Pick'em
PulsePick
New York Giants +2.5
Result
Pending
Confidence
Our PulsePick50%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models.
How our strategies split
PowerNYGPulse Power backs New York Giants, the side our PulsePick backs.
AnalystsARIPulse Analysts disagrees and backs Arizona Cardinals.
UpcomingSun, Oct 4, 5:00 PM
LAR @ PHI
The market lists Los Angeles Rams -3.0; our model projects Los Angeles Rams to win by about 3, so we lean Philadelphia Eagles +3.0, but the expert consensus leans the other way (which lowers our confidence).
Market line
Philadelphia Eagles +3.0
Total
43.5
Our projection
Los Angeles Rams by 3
PulsePick
Philadelphia Eagles +3.0
Result
Pending
Confidence
Our PulsePick50%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models.
How our strategies split
PowerPHIPulse Power backs Philadelphia Eagles, the side our PulsePick backs.
AnalystsLARPulse Analysts disagrees and backs Los Angeles Rams.
UpcomingSun, Oct 4, 5:00 PM
TEN @ BAL
The market lists Baltimore Ravens -11.5; our model projects Baltimore Ravens to win by about 11, so we lean Tennessee Titans +11.5, but the expert consensus leans the other way (which lowers our confidence).
Market line
Baltimore Ravens -11.5
Total
42.5
Our projection
Baltimore Ravens by 11
PulsePick
Tennessee Titans +11.5
Result
Pending
Confidence
Our PulsePick50%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models.
How our strategies split
PowerTENPulse Power backs Tennessee Titans, the side our PulsePick backs.
AnalystsBALPulse Analysts disagrees and backs Baltimore Ravens.
UpcomingSun, Oct 4, 8:05 PM
MIA @ MIN
The market lists Minnesota Vikings -10.5; our model projects Minnesota Vikings to win by about 11, so we lean Minnesota Vikings -10.5, but the expert consensus leans the other way (which lowers our confidence).
Market line
Minnesota Vikings -10.5
Total
38.5
Our projection
Minnesota Vikings by 11
PulsePick
Minnesota Vikings -10.5
Result
Pending
Confidence
Our PulsePick50%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models.
How our strategies split
PowerMINPulse Power backs Minnesota Vikings, the side our PulsePick backs.
AnalystsMIAPulse Analysts disagrees and backs Miami Dolphins.
UpcomingMon, Oct 5, 12:20 AM
DET @ CAR
The market lists Detroit Lions -3.5; our model projects Detroit Lions to win by about 2, so we lean Carolina Panthers +3.5, but the expert consensus leans the other way (which lowers our confidence).
Market line
Carolina Panthers +3.5
Total
51.5
Our projection
Detroit Lions by 2
PulsePick
Carolina Panthers +3.5
Result
Pending
Confidence
Our PulsePick50%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models.
How our strategies split
PowerCARPulse Power backs Carolina Panthers, the side our PulsePick backs.
AnalystsDETPulse Analysts disagrees and backs Detroit Lions.
UpcomingTue, Oct 6, 12:15 AM
ATL @ NO
The market lists New Orleans Saints -2.5; our model projects New Orleans Saints to win by about 4, so we lean New Orleans Saints -2.5, but the expert consensus leans the other way (which lowers our confidence).
Market line
New Orleans Saints -2.5
Total
47.5
Our projection
New Orleans Saints by 4
PulsePick
New Orleans Saints -2.5
Result
Pending
Confidence
Our PulsePick50%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models.
How our strategies split
PowerNOPulse Power backs New Orleans Saints, the side our PulsePick backs.
AnalystsATLPulse Analysts disagrees and backs Atlanta Falcons.

PulsePicks with spread, total, confidence and result
Status	Matchup	Market line	Our projection	Total	PulsePick	Confidence	Result
Upcoming	DEN @ SFSun, Oct 4, 8:25 PMThe market lists San Francisco 49ers -3.0; our model projects San Francisco 49ers to win by about 8, so we lean San Francisco 49ers -3.0, and the expert consensus agrees.	San Francisco 49ers -3.0	San Francisco 49ers by 8	47.5	San Francisco 49ers -3.0	Our PulsePick68%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models. How our strategies split All Models AgreePower · Analysts	Pending
Upcoming	IND @ WSHSun, Oct 4, 1:30 PMThe market lists Indianapolis Colts -3.5; our model projects Washington Commanders to win by about 1, so we lean Washington Commanders +3.5, and the expert consensus agrees.	Washington Commanders +3.5	Washington Commanders by 1	47.5	Washington Commanders +3.5	Our PulsePick61%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models. How our strategies split All Models AgreePower · Analysts	Pending
Upcoming	GB @ TBSun, Oct 4, 5:00 PMThe market lists Green Bay Packers -3.5; our model projects Green Bay Packers to win by about 4, so we lean Green Bay Packers -3.5, and the expert consensus agrees.	Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3.5	Green Bay Packers by 4	38.5	Green Bay Packers -3.5	Our PulsePick61%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models. How our strategies split All Models AgreePower · Analysts	Pending
Upcoming	JAX @ CINSun, Oct 4, 5:00 PMThe market lists Cincinnati Bengals -2.5; our model projects Jacksonville Jaguars to win by about 1, so we lean Jacksonville Jaguars +2.5, but the expert consensus leans the other way (which lowers our confidence).	Cincinnati Bengals -2.5	Jacksonville Jaguars by 1	51.5	Jacksonville Jaguars +2.5	Our PulsePick56%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models. How our strategies split PowerJAXPulse Power backs Jacksonville Jaguars, the side our PulsePick backs. AnalystsCINPulse Analysts disagrees and backs Cincinnati Bengals.	Pending
Upcoming	DAL @ HOUSun, Oct 4, 5:00 PMThe market lists Houston Texans -3.0; our model projects Dallas Cowboys to win by about 1, so we lean Dallas Cowboys +3.0, but the expert consensus leans the other way (which lowers our confidence).	Houston Texans -3.0	Dallas Cowboys by 1	48.5	Dallas Cowboys +3.0	Our PulsePick56%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models. How our strategies split PowerDALPulse Power backs Dallas Cowboys, the side our PulsePick backs. AnalystsHOUPulse Analysts disagrees and backs Houston Texans.	Pending
Upcoming	KC @ LVSun, Oct 4, 8:25 PMThe market lists Kansas City Chiefs -4.5; our model projects Kansas City Chiefs to win by about 5, so we lean Kansas City Chiefs -4.5, and the expert consensus agrees.	Las Vegas Raiders +4.5	Kansas City Chiefs by 5	47.5	Kansas City Chiefs -4.5	Our PulsePick55%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models. How our strategies split All Models AgreePower · Analysts	Pending
Upcoming	LAC @ SEASun, Oct 4, 8:25 PMThe market lists Seattle Seahawks -7.0; our model projects Seattle Seahawks to win by about 8, so we lean Seattle Seahawks -7.0, and the expert consensus agrees.	Seattle Seahawks -7.0	Seattle Seahawks by 8	42.5	Seattle Seahawks -7.0	Our PulsePick54%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models. How our strategies split All Models AgreePower · Analysts	Pending
Upcoming	PIT @ CLEFri, Oct 2, 12:15 AMThe market lists Pittsburgh Steelers -2.5; our model projects Pittsburgh Steelers to win by about 1, so we lean Cleveland Browns +2.5, and the expert consensus agrees.	Cleveland Browns +2.5	Pittsburgh Steelers by 1	38.5	Cleveland Browns +2.5	Our PulsePick53%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models. How our strategies split All Models AgreePower · Analysts	Pending
Upcoming	NE @ BUFSun, Oct 4, 5:00 PMThe market lists Buffalo Bills -7.0; our model projects Buffalo Bills to win by about 6, so we lean New England Patriots +7.0, but the expert consensus leans the other way (which lowers our confidence).	Buffalo Bills -7.0	Buffalo Bills by 6	48.5	New England Patriots +7.0	Our PulsePick50%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models. How our strategies split PowerNEPulse Power backs New England Patriots, the side our PulsePick backs. AnalystsBUFPulse Analysts disagrees and backs Buffalo Bills.	Pending
Upcoming	NYJ @ CHISun, Oct 4, 5:00 PMThe market lists Chicago Bears -3.5; our model projects Chicago Bears to win by about 4, so we lean Chicago Bears -3.5, but the expert consensus leans the other way (which lowers our confidence).	Chicago Bears -3.5	Chicago Bears by 4	43.5	Chicago Bears -3.5	Our PulsePick50%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models. How our strategies split PowerCHIPulse Power backs Chicago Bears, the side our PulsePick backs. AnalystsNYJPulse Analysts disagrees and backs New York Jets.	Pending
Upcoming	ARI @ NYGSun, Oct 4, 5:00 PMThe market lists Arizona Cardinals -2.5; our model sees it as a near coin flip, so we lean New York Giants +2.5, but the expert consensus leans the other way (which lowers our confidence).	New York Giants +2.5	Pick'em	44.5	New York Giants +2.5	Our PulsePick50%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models. How our strategies split PowerNYGPulse Power backs New York Giants, the side our PulsePick backs. AnalystsARIPulse Analysts disagrees and backs Arizona Cardinals.	Pending
Upcoming	LAR @ PHISun, Oct 4, 5:00 PMThe market lists Los Angeles Rams -3.0; our model projects Los Angeles Rams to win by about 3, so we lean Philadelphia Eagles +3.0, but the expert consensus leans the other way (which lowers our confidence).	Philadelphia Eagles +3.0	Los Angeles Rams by 3	43.5	Philadelphia Eagles +3.0	Our PulsePick50%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models. How our strategies split PowerPHIPulse Power backs Philadelphia Eagles, the side our PulsePick backs. AnalystsLARPulse Analysts disagrees and backs Los Angeles Rams.	Pending
Upcoming	TEN @ BALSun, Oct 4, 5:00 PMThe market lists Baltimore Ravens -11.5; our model projects Baltimore Ravens to win by about 11, so we lean Tennessee Titans +11.5, but the expert consensus leans the other way (which lowers our confidence).	Baltimore Ravens -11.5	Baltimore Ravens by 11	42.5	Tennessee Titans +11.5	Our PulsePick50%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models. How our strategies split PowerTENPulse Power backs Tennessee Titans, the side our PulsePick backs. AnalystsBALPulse Analysts disagrees and backs Baltimore Ravens.	Pending
Upcoming	MIA @ MINSun, Oct 4, 8:05 PMThe market lists Minnesota Vikings -10.5; our model projects Minnesota Vikings to win by about 11, so we lean Minnesota Vikings -10.5, but the expert consensus leans the other way (which lowers our confidence).	Minnesota Vikings -10.5	Minnesota Vikings by 11	38.5	Minnesota Vikings -10.5	Our PulsePick50%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models. How our strategies split PowerMINPulse Power backs Minnesota Vikings, the side our PulsePick backs. AnalystsMIAPulse Analysts disagrees and backs Miami Dolphins.	Pending
Upcoming	DET @ CARMon, Oct 5, 12:20 AMThe market lists Detroit Lions -3.5; our model projects Detroit Lions to win by about 2, so we lean Carolina Panthers +3.5, but the expert consensus leans the other way (which lowers our confidence).	Carolina Panthers +3.5	Detroit Lions by 2	51.5	Carolina Panthers +3.5	Our PulsePick50%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models. How our strategies split PowerCARPulse Power backs Carolina Panthers, the side our PulsePick backs. AnalystsDETPulse Analysts disagrees and backs Detroit Lions.	Pending
Upcoming	ATL @ NOTue, Oct 6, 12:15 AMThe market lists New Orleans Saints -2.5; our model projects New Orleans Saints to win by about 4, so we lean New Orleans Saints -2.5, but the expert consensus leans the other way (which lowers our confidence).	New Orleans Saints -2.5	New Orleans Saints by 4	47.5	New Orleans Saints -2.5	Our PulsePick50%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models. How our strategies split PowerNOPulse Power backs New Orleans Saints, the side our PulsePick backs. AnalystsATLPulse Analysts disagrees and backs Atlanta Falcons.	Pending