Week 5 board

NFL Picks Against the Spread — Week 5

Here is the full Week 5 board. Each line shows the market spread, the side our main model lands on, and a confidence score for how strongly it backs that call. The model chips next to it show whether the rest of our strategies agree or split, so you can see the difference between a clean read and a coin flip before anything is graded.

This week's PulsePicks

UpcomingSun, Oct 11, 8:05 PM
DEN @ LAC
The market lists Denver Broncos -3.5; our model sees it as a near coin flip, so we lean Los Angeles Chargers +3.5.
Market line
Los Angeles Chargers +3.5
Total
42.5
Our projection
Pick'em
PulsePick
Los Angeles Chargers +3.5
Result
Pending
Confidence
Our PulsePick58%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models.
UpcomingFri, Oct 9, 12:15 AM
TB @ DAL
The market lists Dallas Cowboys -8.5; our model projects Dallas Cowboys to win by about 12, so we lean Dallas Cowboys -8.5.
Market line
Dallas Cowboys -8.5
Total
47.5
Our projection
Dallas Cowboys by 12
PulsePick
Dallas Cowboys -8.5
Result
Pending
Confidence
Our PulsePick57%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models.
UpcomingSun, Oct 11, 5:00 PM
HOU @ TEN
The market lists Houston Texans -7.5; our model projects Houston Texans to win by about 4, so we lean Tennessee Titans +7.5.
Market line
Tennessee Titans +7.5
Total
37.5
Our projection
Houston Texans by 4
PulsePick
Tennessee Titans +7.5
Result
Pending
Confidence
Our PulsePick57%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models.
UpcomingSun, Oct 11, 8:25 PM
SF @ SEA
The market lists Seattle Seahawks -2.5; our model projects San Francisco 49ers to win by about 1, so we lean San Francisco 49ers +2.5.
Market line
Seattle Seahawks -2.5
Total
46.5
Our projection
San Francisco 49ers by 1
PulsePick
San Francisco 49ers +2.5
Result
Pending
Confidence
Our PulsePick57%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models.
UpcomingMon, Oct 12, 12:20 AM
BAL @ ATL
The market lists Atlanta Falcons -3.5; our model sees it as a near coin flip, so we lean Baltimore Ravens +3.5.
Market line
Atlanta Falcons -3.5
Total
43.5
Our projection
Pick'em
PulsePick
Baltimore Ravens +3.5
Result
Pending
Confidence
Our PulsePick57%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models.
UpcomingSun, Oct 11, 5:00 PM
IND @ PIT
The market lists Pittsburgh Steelers -2.5; our model sees it as a near coin flip, so we lean Indianapolis Colts +2.5.
Market line
Pittsburgh Steelers -2.5
Total
44.5
Our projection
Pick'em
PulsePick
Indianapolis Colts +2.5
Result
Pending
Confidence
Our PulsePick54%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models.
UpcomingSun, Oct 11, 1:30 PM
PHI @ JAX
The market lists Jacksonville Jaguars -7.0; our model projects Jacksonville Jaguars to win by about 8, so we lean Jacksonville Jaguars -7.0.
Market line
Jacksonville Jaguars -7.0
Total
42.5
Our projection
Jacksonville Jaguars by 8
PulsePick
Jacksonville Jaguars -7.0
Result
Pending
Confidence
Our PulsePick53%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models.
UpcomingSun, Oct 11, 5:00 PM
CHI @ GB
The market lists Chicago Bears -3.0; our model projects Chicago Bears to win by about 1, so we lean Green Bay Packers +3.0.
Market line
Green Bay Packers +3.0
Total
45.5
Our projection
Chicago Bears by 1
PulsePick
Green Bay Packers +3.0
Result
Pending
Confidence
Our PulsePick53%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models.
UpcomingSun, Oct 11, 5:00 PM
CIN @ MIA
The market lists Cincinnati Bengals -7.0; our model projects Cincinnati Bengals to win by about 8, so we lean Cincinnati Bengals -7.0.
Market line
Miami Dolphins +7.0
Total
42.5
Our projection
Cincinnati Bengals by 8
PulsePick
Cincinnati Bengals -7.0
Result
Pending
Confidence
Our PulsePick53%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models.
UpcomingSun, Oct 11, 5:00 PM
LV @ NE
The market lists New England Patriots -3.5; our model projects New England Patriots to win by about 4, so we lean New England Patriots -3.5.
Market line
New England Patriots -3.5
Total
45.5
Our projection
New England Patriots by 4
PulsePick
New England Patriots -3.5
Result
Pending
Confidence
Our PulsePick52%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models.
UpcomingSun, Oct 11, 5:00 PM
MIN @ NO
The market lists Minnesota Vikings -1.5; our model projects Minnesota Vikings to win by about 1, so we lean New Orleans Saints +1.5.
Market line
New Orleans Saints +1.5
Total
42.5
Our projection
Minnesota Vikings by 1
PulsePick
New Orleans Saints +1.5
Result
Pending
Confidence
Our PulsePick52%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models.
UpcomingSun, Oct 11, 5:00 PM
NYG @ WSH
The market lists Washington Commanders -3.5; our model projects Washington Commanders to win by about 4, so we lean Washington Commanders -3.5.
Market line
Washington Commanders -3.5
Total
43.5
Our projection
Washington Commanders by 4
PulsePick
Washington Commanders -3.5
Result
Pending
Confidence
Our PulsePick51%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models.
UpcomingTue, Oct 13, 12:15 AM
BUF @ LAR
The market lists Los Angeles Rams -3.0; our model projects Los Angeles Rams to win by about 3, so we lean Buffalo Bills +3.0.
Market line
Los Angeles Rams -3.0
Total
54.5
Our projection
Los Angeles Rams by 3
PulsePick
Buffalo Bills +3.0
Result
Pending
Confidence
Our PulsePick51%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models.
UpcomingSun, Oct 11, 5:00 PM
CLE @ NYJ
The market lists New York Jets -2.5; our model projects New York Jets to win by about 2, so we lean Cleveland Browns +2.5.
Market line
New York Jets -2.5
Total
39.5
Our projection
New York Jets by 2
PulsePick
Cleveland Browns +2.5
Result
Pending
Confidence
Our PulsePick50%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models.
UpcomingSun, Oct 11, 8:25 PM
DET @ ARI
The market lists Detroit Lions -4.5; our model projects Detroit Lions to win by about 5, so we lean Detroit Lions -4.5.
Market line
Arizona Cardinals +4.5
Total
54.5
Our projection
Detroit Lions by 5
PulsePick
Detroit Lions -4.5
Result
Pending
Confidence
Our PulsePick50%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models.

PulsePicks with spread, total, confidence and result
Status	Matchup	Market line	Our projection	Total	PulsePick	Confidence	Result
Upcoming	DEN @ LACSun, Oct 11, 8:05 PMThe market lists Denver Broncos -3.5; our model sees it as a near coin flip, so we lean Los Angeles Chargers +3.5.	Los Angeles Chargers +3.5	Pick'em	42.5	Los Angeles Chargers +3.5	Our PulsePick58%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models.	Pending
Upcoming	TB @ DALFri, Oct 9, 12:15 AMThe market lists Dallas Cowboys -8.5; our model projects Dallas Cowboys to win by about 12, so we lean Dallas Cowboys -8.5.	Dallas Cowboys -8.5	Dallas Cowboys by 12	47.5	Dallas Cowboys -8.5	Our PulsePick57%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models.	Pending
Upcoming	HOU @ TENSun, Oct 11, 5:00 PMThe market lists Houston Texans -7.5; our model projects Houston Texans to win by about 4, so we lean Tennessee Titans +7.5.	Tennessee Titans +7.5	Houston Texans by 4	37.5	Tennessee Titans +7.5	Our PulsePick57%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models.	Pending
Upcoming	SF @ SEASun, Oct 11, 8:25 PMThe market lists Seattle Seahawks -2.5; our model projects San Francisco 49ers to win by about 1, so we lean San Francisco 49ers +2.5.	Seattle Seahawks -2.5	San Francisco 49ers by 1	46.5	San Francisco 49ers +2.5	Our PulsePick57%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models.	Pending
Upcoming	BAL @ ATLMon, Oct 12, 12:20 AMThe market lists Atlanta Falcons -3.5; our model sees it as a near coin flip, so we lean Baltimore Ravens +3.5.	Atlanta Falcons -3.5	Pick'em	43.5	Baltimore Ravens +3.5	Our PulsePick57%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models.	Pending
Upcoming	IND @ PITSun, Oct 11, 5:00 PMThe market lists Pittsburgh Steelers -2.5; our model sees it as a near coin flip, so we lean Indianapolis Colts +2.5.	Pittsburgh Steelers -2.5	Pick'em	44.5	Indianapolis Colts +2.5	Our PulsePick54%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models.	Pending
Upcoming	PHI @ JAXSun, Oct 11, 1:30 PMThe market lists Jacksonville Jaguars -7.0; our model projects Jacksonville Jaguars to win by about 8, so we lean Jacksonville Jaguars -7.0.	Jacksonville Jaguars -7.0	Jacksonville Jaguars by 8	42.5	Jacksonville Jaguars -7.0	Our PulsePick53%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models.	Pending
Upcoming	CHI @ GBSun, Oct 11, 5:00 PMThe market lists Chicago Bears -3.0; our model projects Chicago Bears to win by about 1, so we lean Green Bay Packers +3.0.	Green Bay Packers +3.0	Chicago Bears by 1	45.5	Green Bay Packers +3.0	Our PulsePick53%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models.	Pending
Upcoming	CIN @ MIASun, Oct 11, 5:00 PMThe market lists Cincinnati Bengals -7.0; our model projects Cincinnati Bengals to win by about 8, so we lean Cincinnati Bengals -7.0.	Miami Dolphins +7.0	Cincinnati Bengals by 8	42.5	Cincinnati Bengals -7.0	Our PulsePick53%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models.	Pending
Upcoming	LV @ NESun, Oct 11, 5:00 PMThe market lists New England Patriots -3.5; our model projects New England Patriots to win by about 4, so we lean New England Patriots -3.5.	New England Patriots -3.5	New England Patriots by 4	45.5	New England Patriots -3.5	Our PulsePick52%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models.	Pending
Upcoming	MIN @ NOSun, Oct 11, 5:00 PMThe market lists Minnesota Vikings -1.5; our model projects Minnesota Vikings to win by about 1, so we lean New Orleans Saints +1.5.	New Orleans Saints +1.5	Minnesota Vikings by 1	42.5	New Orleans Saints +1.5	Our PulsePick52%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models.	Pending
Upcoming	NYG @ WSHSun, Oct 11, 5:00 PMThe market lists Washington Commanders -3.5; our model projects Washington Commanders to win by about 4, so we lean Washington Commanders -3.5.	Washington Commanders -3.5	Washington Commanders by 4	43.5	Washington Commanders -3.5	Our PulsePick51%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models.	Pending
Upcoming	BUF @ LARTue, Oct 13, 12:15 AMThe market lists Los Angeles Rams -3.0; our model projects Los Angeles Rams to win by about 3, so we lean Buffalo Bills +3.0.	Los Angeles Rams -3.0	Los Angeles Rams by 3	54.5	Buffalo Bills +3.0	Our PulsePick51%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models.	Pending
Upcoming	CLE @ NYJSun, Oct 11, 5:00 PMThe market lists New York Jets -2.5; our model projects New York Jets to win by about 2, so we lean Cleveland Browns +2.5.	New York Jets -2.5	New York Jets by 2	39.5	Cleveland Browns +2.5	Our PulsePick50%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models.	Pending
Upcoming	DET @ ARISun, Oct 11, 8:25 PMThe market lists Detroit Lions -4.5; our model projects Detroit Lions to win by about 5, so we lean Detroit Lions -4.5.	Arizona Cardinals +4.5	Detroit Lions by 5	54.5	Detroit Lions -4.5	Our PulsePick50%How strongly our main model backs this call — not an average of the four leaderboard models.	Pending